Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2.172321e-05 2.624894e-05 0.000031 0.000037 0.000043 0.000050 0.000059
2025-06-22 1.500530e-05 2.056189e-05 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000057 0.000071
2025-06-29 1.043871e-05 1.617289e-05 0.000024 0.000033 0.000046 0.000061 0.000080
2025-07-06 7.222820e-06 1.270094e-05 0.000020 0.000031 0.000045 0.000063 0.000087
2025-07-13 5.372940e-06 1.065593e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000047 0.000068 0.000096
2025-07-20 4.094221e-06 9.151214e-06 0.000017 0.000030 0.000048 0.000072 0.000106
2025-07-27 3.289535e-06 8.221001e-06 0.000017 0.000030 0.000051 0.000078 0.000117
2025-08-03 3.016457e-06 8.176711e-06 0.000017 0.000033 0.000056 0.000088 0.000134
2025-08-10 2.368632e-06 7.238657e-06 0.000016 0.000032 0.000058 0.000093 0.000144
2025-08-17 1.601531e-06 5.796161e-06 0.000014 0.000030 0.000056 0.000093 0.000148
2025-08-24 1.097503e-06 4.747992e-06 0.000013 0.000029 0.000055 0.000094 0.000153
2025-08-31 8.232929e-07 4.173246e-06 0.000012 0.000028 0.000056 0.000098 0.000162
2025-09-07 5.290730e-07 3.455091e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000057 0.000103 0.000174
2025-09-14 2.894435e-07 2.682820e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000057 0.000106 0.000184
2025-09-21 1.318009e-07 1.979753e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000057 0.000108 0.000191
2025-09-28 4.656423e-08 1.398040e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000055 0.000109 0.000197
2025-10-05 1.667717e-08 1.081351e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000056 0.000113 0.000208
2025-10-12 4.781018e-09 8.541757e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000057 0.000118 0.000221
2025-10-19 1.228395e-09 7.235610e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000059 0.000125 0.000237
2025-10-26 7.339412e-10 7.402172e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000065 0.000138 0.000262
2025-11-02 2.712438e-11 5.959150e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000067 0.000143 0.000276
2025-11-09 NaN 3.833374e-07 0.000005 0.000022 0.000065 0.000143 0.000281
2025-11-16 NaN 2.507061e-07 0.000004 0.000021 0.000064 0.000144 0.000287